In a recent statement, Jason Matheny, president of the Rand Corp., a prominent security-focused think tank, has raised concerns about the potential use of artificial intelligence (AI) in developing deadly viruses. Matheny suggests that for less than $100,000, AI could be utilized to create a pathogen capable of killing millions of people, posing a significant threat to global security. He emphasizes that the cost of producing a vaccine or antiviral in response to such a pathogen could reach billions of dollars.
Matheny’s warning comes in the wake of discussions held at the annual meeting of the Aspen Strategy Group, a bipartisan organization focused on exploring global security issues. The meeting, which centered around AI, featured experts who shared alarming insights into the potential risks associated with the technology.
The advent of synthetic biology has further exacerbated concerns surrounding bioweapons. Previously, fears were centered on the theft of the smallpox virus from labs in Atlanta and Russia. However, with the advancements in synthetic biology, the creation of similar viruses, such as horse pox, has become more accessible and cost-effective. AI could potentially streamline the refinement process, making it easier to develop highly lethal pathogens.
While the use of biological weapons has been limited due to the potential for unintended consequences, retired Chinese general’s remarks have raised the possibility of targeted bioweapons that could impact specific races or ethnicities. Additionally, the development of a virus capable of incapacitating or eliminating a particular individual, based on their DNA, has been suggested.
AI also presents a hopeful side, with the potential to revolutionize various fields such as education, healthcare, and pharmaceutical development. For instance, AI-driven protein folding has significantly accelerated the process of understanding protein structures, leading to advancements in medical care and the development of vaccines against diseases like malaria.
However, the article highlights the uncertainty surrounding the impact of AI on job losses, which could potentially amplify social unrest. The consequences of trade with China, which resulted in the loss of factory jobs and a rise in right-wing populism, serve as a cautionary tale for managing the economic disruption caused by AI.
The article also touches upon the darker side of AI, including its potential to facilitate manipulation and surveillance. The study reveals that AI-powered chatbots, armed with basic information about individuals, can be significantly more persuasive than humans. Concerns have been raised about the manipulation of public opinion through algorithms, as seen in the case of TikTok.
To maintain a leading position in AI, the United States must prioritize its development and governance. President Joe Biden has taken steps to limit China’s access to advanced computer chips, preserving America’s technological advantage. However, experts argue that the fate of national security and the world should not be solely determined by technology companies in Silicon Valley, emphasizing the need for improved governance and regulation.